Ukraine War. 2022-

Discussion in 'Postwar' started by CL1, Feb 26, 2022.

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  1. JohnB

    JohnB Junior Member

    Paddy Mayne would have tears of joy looking on at Saki air base.

    Mind you I'm not sure doing the Russians work for them in identfying the cause of the attack is a good idea.

    Still, what a result, probably not less than half a $ billion damage done if not more.
    I have my doubts that any of the aircraft on that air base will be of much use to the Russians again
     
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  2. davidbfpo

    davidbfpo Patron Patron

    Professor Lawrence Freedman's latest article: Winning Through Attrition

    Near the start this explains his intention:
    On the Saki AFB explosions:
     
  3. brithm

    brithm Senior Member

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  4. von Poop

    von Poop Adaministrator Admin

    Been reading up on GMLRS rockets, since they seem to be a device du jour.
    That 'G' is quite the significant part of the acronym, isn't it.
    Blimey...
     
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  5. CL1

    CL1 116th LAA and 92nd (Loyals) LAA,Royal Artillery

    Adam yes it is never really looked at it GMLRS: The Precision Fires Go-To Round crikey
    its stuck in the mind whenever you see multiple rocket launches on tv
    you think fire and forget and never know where they end up
    [​IMG]
     
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  6. davidbfpo

    davidbfpo Patron Patron

    His latest thread on Twitter, by the "Digger" Ret'd general Mick Ryan. Available for all on: Thread by @WarintheFuture on Thread Reader App

    Starts with:
     
  7. davidbfpo

    davidbfpo Patron Patron

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  8. ltdan

    ltdan Nietenzähler

    Donnerwetter!

    since thursday 10 p.m.
    • Explosions at munitions depot, Timonovo, Belgorod
    • Fire/explosions at Stary Oskol Airfield, Belgorod
    • Explosions in Nova Kakhovka, Kherson
    • Explosions at Belbek airport, Crimea
    • Air defence activity near Kerch strait, Crimea

    Apparently, accidents caused by careless handling of cigarettes are reaching epidemic proportions
     
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  9. davidbfpo

    davidbfpo Patron Patron

    An interesting Twitter thread by an analyst working for Bloomberg, presumably in the Ukraine and now available for all to view on: Thread by @Volodymyr_D_ on Thread Reader App

    The subject being:
    The comments on Twitter were mixed and for me the bonus was one not on ammunition, but on the analysis missed barrel replacement. Can Russia produce enough barrels using high grade steel?
     
  10. ltdan

    ltdan Nietenzähler

    Russian arty works through saturation, not surgical precision.
    A CEP that would suggest a defective tube by NATO standards is therefore considered quite sufficient in Ivan's case.
    Because the technique is also characterised by generous tolerances, barrel changes can be postponed for a relatively long time.

    And if a barrel does fail: Well, then it's an accident and there's no need to pay compensation to the relatives.
     
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  11. ltdan

    ltdan Nietenzähler

    Near Belgorod, an entire forest exploded for unexplained reasons.
    Fortunately, the ammunition depot right next to it remained intact because it had been largely emptied.
    One does not even want to imagine what would have happened if ammunition had still been stored there.....
     
  12. ltdan

    ltdan Nietenzähler

    regarding russian Arty - swedish volunteer reports of his experiences during the early stages:
     
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  13. davidbfpo

    davidbfpo Patron Patron

    Professor Lawrence Freedman has a new book on command out next month and the linked article appears to be a Q&A session. The sub-title or summary states:
    Link: Ukraine War. 2022-
     
    Last edited: Aug 21, 2022
  14. von Poop

    von Poop Adaministrator Admin

    From Antonov today.
    Just thought the 225 as a sword hilt interesting iconography.
    Something rather early C20th about the whole 'Poster'.

    Fa53Rw8XEAAm4t5.jpeg
     
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  15. davidbfpo

    davidbfpo Patron Patron

    The regular column by Professor Lawrence Freedman, entitled 'Constantly Operating Factors: Stalin's Lessons for Putin', which covers many points and made me think of whether we learn from history. Link: Constantly Operating Factors
     
  16. davidbfpo

    davidbfpo Patron Patron

    The sinking of the Russian Navy cruiser Moskva is the focus of a YouTube discussion, which was recommended yesterday by an open source expert - inn part as the speakers have designed a naval war game (possibly Harpoon). It is 85 mins long and has not been viewed. Possibly, for naval users?
    Link:
     
    Last edited: Aug 24, 2022
  17. Osborne2

    Osborne2 Well-Known Member

  18. davidbfpo

    davidbfpo Patron Patron

    A short article in The Economist on the Russian and Ukrainian personnel factor; with an unusual preface by the Editor:
    Link: Ukraine and Russia both need more soldiers
     
  19. ltdan

    ltdan Nietenzähler

    It looks like the UA is unpacking the big tools in Kherson Obblast right now: Apparently quite a lot of arty, mechanised units and fighter-bombers in action
     
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  20. davidbfpo

    davidbfpo Patron Patron

    Three articles, first a topical one on the Kherson offensive by Shashank Joshi, on 29/11/2022: Ukraine starts a push to recapture Kherson, a crucial Russian-occupied city

    Second, an article a US contact pointed to, it is quite long and entitled 'The Russia-Ukraine War At Six Months: symbolic anniversary or economic and military turning point?': Chartbook #146 The Russia-Ukraine War At Six Months: symbolic anniversary or economic and military turning point?

    The third article, also a 'long read' is 'Can Russia Continue to Fight a Long War?' by a RUSI expert, Dr Sidharth Kaushal: https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/can-russia-continue-fight-long-war
     
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